The Cherries are 19th in the standings with 21 points but trail Leeds United by one for 17th place. Meanwhile, ZiPS not only projects the Cards to win a second straight NL Central title but also gives St. Louis the largest margin of victory (seven games) of any of the projected division champions. MLB. The Phillies Will Need The Long Ball For A Long Shot World Series Comeback . It also highlights the risk of a starting rotation with so many durability worries. Throw in a few more guys like Gunnar Henderson and DL Hall, and this team could be fun to watch in a few years. We just saw that I like the Blue Jays for around 95 wins. Everyone needs to get their two cents in and, why not? Andrew Benintendi showed some bounceback potential in 2021, and Adalberto Mondesi still looks explosive when healthy. 2023 Projected Standings. There were three last season. TeamRankings.com is solely responsible for this site but makes no guarantee about the accuracy or completeness of the information herein. Mookie Betts felt quiet in 2021, but he's still one of baseball's best at the dish. The loss of Gray takes away one arm that found success pitching in Colorado, but German Marquez and Antonio Senzatela continued to prove last season that they've figured it out. Picking the White Sox to run away with the division is certainly correct, but the rest of the standings feel a bit jumbled given recent history. But as you might expect, they don't agree on everything. MLB.com. The reason the model likes the Cardinals over Milwaukee comes from the lack of trust in the Brewers' lineup, but if Willy Adames can repeat and Christian Yelich can bounce back somewhere closer to his 2019 levels, it could have just enough to support Milwaukee's tremendous pitching staff. Milwaukee finished with a DEF of 56, which was eight more runs than the next best team. Although Jos Abreu left as a free agent to sign with the Astros in the offseason, the core of the roster that won the division title two years ago is still largely intact, making Chicago an obvious rebound candidate in 2023. As part of our year-round MLB coverage, well provide analysis, the latest news and MLB trade rumors. Bostons bullpen isnt among the best in the American League and its starting rotation lacks quality depth, especially with Chris Sale on IL. The NL Central hasnt had a repeat champion since the Cubs in 2016-17, and PECOTA expects that trend to continue in 2023, giving the Brewers a two-game edge over the Cardinals. The NL Central hasn't had a repeat champion since the Cubs in 2016-17, and PECOTA expects that trend to continue in 2023, giving the Brewers a two-game edge over the Cardinals. While the MLB season is still a few months away, there has been plenty of excitement to what the new campaign could bring. The rotation is strong, especially after signing Carlos Rodn. They didn't re-sign Miley and traded away franchise icons Winker and Suarez in a salary dump before signing Tommy Pham, Donovan Solano, Colin Moran and trading for Mike Minor. Last Year's Record: 91-71 Over/Under: 92.5 The Blue Jays were just one game shy of making the postseason last year in a division that featured four teams winning more than 90 games. 400. They could match that in 2022. Just when everyone thoughtthe Rockiesmight be headed toward a rebuild, they go out and make a big splash by signing Kris Bryant. Both of these teams will be in the playoffs, everyones preference between the two is understandable. 5 min read. The bullpen is, well, the Phillies bullpen. Most of all, the Rockies will continue to flex their muscles in Coors Field, where they were 48-33 last season. Even after Gausman walked in free agency, San Francisco still returns Logan Webb, who is coming off a fantastic postseason, and bring back Anthony DeSclafani and Alex Wood. The Phillies enter the season probably, objectively, a worse team than both the Braves and Mets in the NL East. 2022, 2021, 2022 MLB Pitching, 2022 MLB Batting, 2022 MLB Standings, 2022 MLB Attendance, 2022 MLB Rookies , . Tyler Stephenson finishes with 20+ home runs, 80+ runs, and 80+ RBIs. I like getting late in the signing process and just going offense by adding Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos to Bryce Harper et al in the lineup, though. The model has them in third in the AL East, but it would surprise no one to see them win the division. Projected Standings, Roster Management, Draft Results, Keeper Management; Coming early January 2023! Add them together with JT Realmuto, Rhys Hoskins and Jean Segura, and this is a deep lineup capable of doing plenty of damage. Cleveland might be trending the wrong direction compared to most teams, but finishing last still feels like a bit of a stretch. But there they are with an 88-74 projection from ZiPS, just three games behind the mighty Dodgers and Padres. Eric Lauer and Adrian Houser help round out a rotation that has a case for the MLB's best, in front of a bullpen that has some star power with Josh Hader and Devin Williams. If the 2021 Mariners were a 76-win true talent team and their true talent this season is, say, eight games better, they'd go 84-78, right? After winning 99 games in 2022, the Yankees were able to re-sign Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo in free agency, and they inked All-Star lefty Carlos Rodnto a six-year contract. MLB playoffs 2023: MLB postseason predictions, World Series and playoffs info, Longest MLB hitting streaks ever: 2022 to baseball history, 5 biggest winners from 2022 MLB offseason, MLB top prospects 2022: Tracking latest stats and potential call-up dates, 3 Chicago White Sox trade targets to replace Lance Lynn, 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, MLB MVP race 2023: Evaluating 2023 AL, NL candidates and MVP history, MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July, What is the fastest pitch ever? For now, well keep the Yankees in the No. The Blue Jays will, once again, be one of the best fourth-place finishers since MLB went to the six-division format in 1994. This offseason, they're doing their part to make sure they don't miss the wild card this time. The Sporting News' model sees the Blue Jays as a slim favorite to win the division over the Yankees, Rays and Red Sox, but it expects all four teams to reach the playoffs. The Minnesota Twins are an interesting case. They'll hover around .500 without the season-altering winning streak this time around. Disappointment in 2021 compelled the New York Mets to spend even more money this offseason. I'm more a fan of being right and this one was just pulling me in. I took the Rays' under (it was 86) last year and got badly burned. Marcus Semien might have left in free agency, but Toronto acquired Matt Chapman to man third and give the team a star defender to the left of Bichette. Thats everything the Milwaukee Brewers already bring to the table. Bookmark this page for in-season updates to our MLB predictions. With the last few days of build up comes all kinds of predictions, picks, best bets and the like. The Los Angeles Dodgers might have lost the NL West in 2021, but theres no doubt this is the best team in the division entering the 2022 season. NEW YORK YANKEES 103-59. While Cleveland missed the playoffs last year, they also have finished no lower than third in the AL Central since 2012. It's always possible Aaron Nola gets back to ace level and Ranger Surez has all kinds of talent, possibly giving the Phillies a Big Three. However, there are reasons for why it turned out as it did. A lineup that already featured the reigning MVP in Bryce Harper added the dynamic bat of Nick Castellanos and left-handed slugger Kyle Schwarber. Philadelphia Phillies (82-80) The bullpen (7.06 ERA in '20) won . At least they have one of the best MLB lineups. Ultimately, this is a total rebuild and the organization isn't thinking about the final MLB standings in 2022. Trevor Rogers nearly won Rookie of the Year, and Sandy Alcantara and Pablo Lopez each had ERAs south of 3.20. It makes them the team to beat in the NL Central, especially if Christian Yelich rebounds and Kolten Wong stays healthy. Thats enough to push them ahead of New York in our MLB predictions. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is nearly upon us. Christian Yelich can only get better after . The Records are updated Live on the MLB Standings after each game finishes. There are two MVP candidates in the lineup and the Trevor Story signing creates one of the best infield in MLB. Watch out, Milwaukee is a darkhorse World Series threat. It might not matter right now, but it will cost them multiple games and potentially a playoff spot. Luis Robert is a darkhorse MVP candidate, Jose Abreu is consistent and there is even more All-Star talent (Eloy Jimenez, Yasmani Grandal, Tim Anderson). By no means do I think the Rockies are good, nor will they come close to playoff contention. My hunch this year is they'll be less extreme and steadily work toward somewhere in the low-to-mid 80s in wins. MLB insider Bob Nightengale examines if the fans will forgive league for ugly offseason. Unfortunately, the Jacob deGrom injury is a massive blow. They added Cy Young winner Robbie Ray and 2021 All-Stars in Adam Frazier and Jesse Winker Nobody really knows what to make of theAngels. These are the teams with the top odds: 1. The return of spring weather brings hope for every team. . They've got a good young rotation led by Sandy Alcantara and are going to causeheadaches for the division's presumed contenders Juan Soto Extension Watch is going to be 2022's dominant storyline for the Nationals, who did sign 41-year-old DH Nelson Cruz. CHW Chicago White Sox. Get the most up to date picture of the 2022 MLB season standings. Toronto's lineup starring Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette and Teoscar Hernandez is the best in the American League, and its offense will carry it through the season to one of the league's best records. Let's take a look at each game with odds from DraftKings . Let's dig in on the "best team" part, though. The results of each simulation are tallied together to create the most likely outcomes of the divisions, playoffs and World Series. Putting the Houston Astros atop the AL West in our MLB predictions today was easy. 2023 Playoff Odds, . Toronto Blue Jays. When the MLB playoffs begin, well provide predictions, matchup analysis and provide the full schedule for October baseball. If Alex Bregman bounces back to what he's capable of, this should remain one of the highest-scoring offenses. while Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez bring the kind of veteran bats any team needs when it wants to make a leap in the . But what the model really likes is the rotation. We saw the Houston Astros add another division title to their collection last season despite the surprise surge from the Seattle Mariners. However, the Mets will still be in a prime position to compete and will likely make a big splash in the 2023 postseason. March 1st, 2023. All posts tagged "MLB" Feb. 22, 2023. . The rotation remains the bright spot with Shane Bieber leading a staff that featured a breakout season from Cal Quantrill and solid campaigns from Triston McKenzie, Zach Plesac and Aaron Civale. Robert Edwards-USA TODAY Sports. If there werent enough concerns, early IL stints for Evan Longoria and Lamonte Wade Jr. heighten worries with the Giants lineup and its diminishing depthj. But ZiPS doesnt see it that way, and neither does PECOTA. The 2020 World Series champions have +600 odds to lift the Commissioner's Trophy in 2022, while the Pirates, Orioles and Arizona Diamondbacks are tied for the lowest at +25000. As for the Cubs, neither system likes their postseason chances despite the signings of Swanson, Cody Bellinger, Jameson Taillon, Trey Mancini and Eric Hosmer. Ryan Fagan ( @RyanFagan ) Despite signing Trea Turnerin free agency, neither ZiPS nor PECOTA views the Phils as a major threat to win this division. They'll be one of the best home teams in baseball this year. But after an offseason spent filling out their roster with solid role players, ZiPS and PECOTA both think they have a good chance to break their ignominious drought in 2023. The Rangerswere the talk of the offseason before the lockout when they made two major splashy signings in bringing in Corey Seager and Marcus Semien to produce maybe the best middle-infield combination in baseball. This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. Acquiring Sonny Gray improves the rotation, but it could still use a front-line starter. Everyone wants to see his light-tower power in the thin air of Coors Field, just as CJ Cron in his first year in Colorado. Sticky standings Sticky standings. 2023 Season; 2022 Season; 2021 Season; 2020 Season; 2019 Season; 2018 Season; CFB FBS. Justin Verlander's return is hugefor the Astros, coming off their third World Series appearance in five years. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Perhaps it would be a bit closer if two-time NL MVP Bryce Harper were healthy, but he underwent Tommy John surgery in November and might be out until July. Hes going to be one of the best players in MLB before long and some even think hell get MVP votes in 2022. Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is . This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. The model really likes the rotation with Steven Matz joining Adam Wainwright and Jack Flaherty, who could miss some time with a shoulder injury. Arizona also has to be relieved the DH is now in the league so it can give young slugger Seth Beer a way to consistently fit in the lineup. The tip-off is set for 7:30 pm ET at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. 3. Theyll be better than the Pittsburgh Pirates, but at least we can say we like the outlook for Pittsburghs future. New York Mets - 94-68 (101-61 in 2022, 2nd in NLE) It's tough to predict a regression for the Mets, but we truly believe their 2023 campaign will be a bit less successful than their 2022 campaign. No one saw the San Francisco Giants being that good last season, they surpassed their wildest expectations. From the starting rotation to the lineup, Los Angeles holds the advantages and its farm system is better. MORE:Trading for Matt Chapman a better fit for rising Blue Jays than signing Freddie Freeman. The model isn't as bullish on San Diego as others due to concerns over Tatis' ability to play a full season and the depth in the lineup, but it's easy to see this being the magical year for which many have been waiting. Arizona is avoiding a total rebuild and the Ketel Marte extensions signals he wont be moved. The odds of winning the pennant tell the story of just how locked down the field sees the 2022 playoff picture. Pair that with the injury concerns we have for multiple starters, its enough to put this team a tier behind the Blue Jays. There has been a lot going on in the AL West since the 2021 season came to an end, and the model expects the standings to turn out about as one might expect. And I'd win the under. They battled through adversity and were able to outlast the Houston Astros en route to a world series trophy. The model expects some regression, but the pitching will keep this as one of the best teams in baseball. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver. KC Kansas City Royals. The production this season will help set the stage for the next competitive Nationals' team. After reaching the playoffs in 2020 and winning the AL Central with a 93-69 record the following year, the White Sox seemed poised to establish themselves as the divisions alpha dog in 2022. Heading into 2022, this division figures to be just as thrilling as the Padres continue to establish themselves as a threat in the league. Even over 162 games, surprises abound. I'm counting on a huge year from Matt Chapman (as outlined in the preview) while the rotation has a full year of Jos Berros, a full year of Alek Manoah and newly-signed Kevin Gausman coming. 15 seasons. MLB Spring Training Standings 2023. Derek Jeter left the Miami Marlins for a reason, he doesnt believe this team is all-in on winnings. However, the starting rotation just doesnt seem good enough in a long season. From there, the model simulates the postseason based on the outcomes of the regular season to decide who will win the World Series. Get Paramount Plus today and watch live sports for an unbeatable price! It might sound like an easy pick after the Padres went 79-83 last season and now are going to be without Fernando Tatis, Jr. for weeks or even months. The model's concerns for Seattle stem from its uncertain pitching depth beyond Ray and Marco Gonzales and the risk of an underperforming infield, but make no mistake, the future is bright in Seattle. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and . We know there are moving parts and differences every single season and the Blue Jays have to replace the career year from Marcus Semien. Nick Madrigal and Nico Hoerner are a promising young middle-infield combo, who should be big parts of the team's future. Instead, the model likes the chances ofthe Cardinalsto win the NL Central. October 6th, 2022. And with Michael Kopech and Liam Hendriks at the backend of the bullpen, they could be a real weapon to end games in the playoffs. The defense is terrible. It's hard to see that changing in 2022 with a new crop of players in the AL Central. But the top two teams in the NL are the same as last year's: the Dodgers and Giants. There was a point in the 2021 season when it felt the Mets were going to run away with the division. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is almost here and Sportsnaut's MLB predictions offer projections for the standings, award winners and more.. MLB games today will offer daily predictions and the full schedule for the entire season from 2022 Opening Day to the World Series. Washington Nationals (88-74) The NL East is loaded, but any team anchored by Max Scherzer and Juan Soto can't be overlooked. The . Just looking around the NL West, there are two bad teams. Vlad Guerrero Jr. ties Joe DiMaggio for the 2nd-most HR . The team has pieces that will help it win games, with Frankie Montas at the front of that rotation and top prospect Cristian Pache immediately slotting into the outfield with Ramon Laureano. From now on, all these projections will update every morning to reflect the latest . With Seattle, Los Angeles, and Texas each loading up on talent this offseason, will the Carlos Correa-less Astros . Like the Tigers,the Royals are loaded with MLB-ready talent from Bobby Witt Jr., MJ Melendez and Nick Pratto all expected to reach the big leagues at some point during the season to add to an offense that already includes Salvador Perez, Nicky Lopez and Whit Merrifield. Something is going to give there -- in terms of sending one team down to the mid-80s in wins, this time around -- and the Red Sox total is 85.5. It bucks conventional wisdom, sure, but there are a few factors I can't ignore. Sign up to receive our daily Morning Lineup to stay in the know about the latest trending topics around Major League Baseball. Losing Kevin Gausman (Toronto Blue Jays and Buster Posey (retirement) are two huge blows, leaving voids that cant be filled directly. Across the division, the Twins had a perplexing winter. . I don't buy the Padres or Giants as 90-plus win teams, either. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. I was going to be choosing between the Red Sox and Rays and the Rays' number is four higher, so here we are. Milwaukee has made the playoffs four years in a row, a streak that should continue as the Cardinals didn't do much to close the gap. The two big prospects in the Trea Turner/Scherzer trade, Josiah Gray will slot into the rotation and Keibert Ruiz should become the everyday catcher. Thats two huge additions, creating a lineup that should be among the NL leaders in home runs and RBI. The team will also get another look at breakout star Jazz Chisholm in his second year of action. The model doesn't think the signings make Texas a full-fledged contender just yet, but it sees this as a major step in the right direction. They will join Joe Musgrove, Yu Darvish and Blake Snell. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the team's vaunted pitching staff to allow . Losing Robbie Ray and Steven Matz will hurt the rotation, but the addition of Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi, along with a full season of Jose Berrios and Alek Manoah will help bolster the pitching staff. MORE: The Sporting News' 2022 MLB Opening Day Power Rankings Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season from TSN's panel of baseball experts. With that said, adding Chris Archer is a nice low-risk, high-reward move that should add more stability to Minnesotas pitching staff. Things have frantically fallen into place since the new labor deal came together on March 10, with every team trying to jam most of its winter moves into just a few weeks. The model's outlook of the AL Central is perhaps what differs from conventional wisdom the most in its projections. The lineup dips after Jose Ramirez, and even with the powerful bat of Franmil Reyes, Cleveland lacks true support for its star third baseman. Jesus Luzardo wasn't sharp in his Miami debut, but he's shown off his electric skillset and sky-high potential in Spring Training and will likely be a popular breakout pick. However, the Yankees lineup could be without 60% of its production whenever it plays in Toronto. The Dodgers are currently favored to take it all. But that quickly changed, and the result was a disappointing 77-85 season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2023 MLB section. The winter meetings are quickly approaching and before you know it will be time for Spring Training. Compared to the Brewers and Cardinals, the Cubs dont stack up and thats even after signing outfielder Seiya Suzuki. Because of a below-average lineup, on its best days, the Marlins exciting rotation will be wasted. First off, the Dodgers are the best team. CLE Cleveland Guardians. The model is also high on the pitching of the Giants, giving San Francisco a major edge going into the postseason even as a wild-card team. That's because Major League Baseball is on a run of 100-win teams. As for the Rays, the Wander Franco hype is real. Mega Picker; . MLB games today will offer daily predictions and the full schedule for the entire season from 2022 Opening Day to the World Series. The NL Central is mediocre, at best, and the Cardinals are a part of the mediocrity. If the snake-bitten franchise gets full seasons from Anthony Rendon, Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani and Noah Syndergaard, its a no-doubt playoff team. There is going to be some competition in Texas soon enough for the AL West crown. You famously cannot predict baseball. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. Considering the Cincinnati Reds are shopping their starting pitchers and trimming payroll, they belong in the ignore tier for the 2022 season. Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season, including complete standings, playoff teams and the World Series winner. The rotation might be even better in 2022 with the return of Mike Soroka to join Max Fried, Ian Anderson, Charlie Morton and Huascar Ynoa. They also signed Jon Gray, who could be due for a breakout season now that he's no longer pitching in Coors Field. This should be very difficult, as every team -- at least in theory -- should have a total right around where it is expected to finish. Plus, in the NL West, the Dodgers are awesome and the Giants are coming off a 107-win season. 2022 MLB preseason predictions: World Series, MVP and Cy Young bets we're counting on this year. Edwin Diaz was a dominant closer in 2021, and figures again to be among the best relievers in 2022. It's a good, though not great, mix of position players. As far as my place in all this, feel free to jump over to my SportsLine page to see my picking acumen from last season. ET (ESPN). However, its outfield will be problematic and the starting rotation is even worse. Bryan Reynolds was a highlight for the team in 2021 as he earned an All-Star nod, and Ke'Bryan Hayes showed potential to be the next face of the franchise. 103 / 103+59 OR 103 / 162 = .636 OR 63.6%. Needless to say, our MLB predictions arent quite as high on the Boston Red Sox. The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 5:30 p.m. Joey Votto has never hit 40 homers in a season. Even more surprising, potentially letting Freddie Freeman walk in free agency. Theres no question the Padres have the talent to win the NL West, even a World Series title is possible. Jesse Yomtov. While Atlanta lost longtime franchise fixture Freddie Freeman, it replaced him with Matt Olson from the A's, who should be able to more than match the power output of the former MVP. The results, Marcus Stroman being replaced by Max Scherzer and holes in the lineup being filled by Starling Marte, Mark Canha and Eduardo Escobar.